Sunday Night Football Betting Guide
Week 9: Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs
By: Danny DeAngelis (Twitter: @Daily_Biscuit31)
Things are slowly turning in the favor as two weeks ago the parlay of the Eagles cashed along with last week’s Under hitting as well. We look to make it three weeks in a row with a winning week as Patty My Homie hosts the Tennessee Titans in a game that will go a long way in to see who could be the number two seed (or possibly the one see) in the AFC.
Sunday Night Football – 10/30
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
Tennessee Titans (5-2-0) @ Kansas City Chiefs (5-2-0)
Weather: 48 degrees, 7-8 MPH winds, 0% chance of precipitation
8:20 p.m. EST; TV: NBC
All Odds are as of November 5th @ 1: 30 P.M. EST via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Please Review Any Line Movement & Use Proper Judgment.
The Spread: Titans (+12.5, -110) vs Chiefs (-12.5, -110) – Read Mario’s against-the-spread article here
2022 TEN 5-2-0
2022 KC 3-4-0
Surprisingly these two teams have a bit of recent history, as they have met 10 times in the last 15 years. The spread has been 70/30 but not in favor of who you think, as the Titans have covered seven of the last ten matchups and five of the last six. The Titans have also covered five of the last seven game games in Kansas City which is impressive in its own right. This matchups has not been kind to the favorite either as the favorite has covered once KC 2022) with the UNDERDOG only coming out on top five times (TEN 5-2 as an underdog overall). The average number over the past four matchups has been around 5 – 5.5, which is well below this week’s 12.5 mark. This week’s spread also marks the highest it has been over the last ten matchups with the lowest being 2.5 in 2014 (KC covering as the favorite).
Money Line (ML): Titans (+420) vs Chiefs (-540)<
2022 TEN 5-2-0 (3-1-0 Away; 2-1-0 Home)
2022 KC 5-2-0 (3-1-0 Away; 2-1-0 Home)
Checking out the Money Line of the past 10 matchups KC has been an overwhelming favorite as they have been a favorite in the last eight matchups. Of those eight they have only won three of those matchups with two of those three coming at home. The Titans have won five of the last six with three of those five coming in Kansas City.
Over 46.5 (-110) / Under 46.5 (-110)
2022 TEN 2-5-0 IN OVERS
2022 KC 4-3-0 IN OVERS
On to the totals we go. The total has been 60/40 in favor of the OVER in the last 10 games The total has gone over only four times of those six, and in seven games respectfully in Kansas City. Of late the UNDER has been the flavor of the “month” going UNDER four of the last six, with three of those games being in KC. The highest total was last year when it was 59 (OVER) with the lowest being 34 (OVER) in 2007. The average number over the last ten games has been around 44 – 44.5 marking this week’s number 2 / 2.5 points lower than the average.
Trends To Watch
Tennessee Titans
4-0 is the UNDER in TEN last four games.
5-0 is the UNDER in TEN last five games when allowing 90 yards or less in their last game.
4-0 is the UNDER in TEN last four games following a ATS win.
6-0 is the UNDER in TEN last six games following a SU win.
5-0 is TEN in their last five games ATS.
Kansas City Chiefs
0-4 is KC in their last four games ATS following a SU win.
0-5 is KC in their last five games ATS against the AFC.
0-4 is KC in their last four games ATS at home.
1-5 is KC in their last six games ATS after allowing 250+ yards in their previous game.
1-5 is KC in their last six games ATS after scoring 30+ points in their previous game.
Head-To-Head
5-1 is the UNDERDOG in the last six games ATS.
5-1 is TEN in their last six games ATS against KC.
5-2 is TEN in their last seven games ATS in KC.
The Plays
All Odds are as of November 5th @ 1: 30 P.M. EST via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Please Review Any Line Movement & Use Proper Judgment.
The Spread: Titans (+12.5, -110) vs Chiefs (-12.5, -110) – Read Mario’s against-the-spread article here
Money Line (ML): Titans (+420) vs Chiefs (-540)
This game is going to be over before it even starts, no matter who is under center for the Titans. Neither Willis or Tannenhill give the Titans a shot to win the game. The Chiefs are not the Texans (whom the Titans played last week) and Derek Henry won’t be running wild on this KC defense. This week will be another parlay them type game, but you would likely need to find a third leg to pair them with the Bills and just parlay the two only gets you to -240
The Play: Pass, Parlay with Bills (-240)
Over 46.5 (-110) / Under 46.5 (-110)
We all witnessed and watched the Titans last week. It was legit Derek Henry or nothing as Willis threw for less than 55 yards on 10 passes. King Henry stole the show last week going for over 200 yards. This defense is the Texans and it Willis gets the nod this week it somehow might look worse than last week, it the Titans could only muster 17 points against the woeful Texans that means if they could even repeat that output the Chiefs would need to put up 30 points for this to hit the over, i don’t even think they will score 10 points this week as this will be a blow out by half time and just a matter of time as KC will look to just run the ball and keeping the clock moving winning by a score of something along the lines of 10-35.
The Play: UNDER 46.5 (-110)
2022 Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Money Line: 0-3-0 (-3.00 Units)
Over / Under: 1-4-0 (-2.09 Units)
Bonus Plays 1-0-0 (+1.15 Units)
Overall: 2-7-0 (-4.94 Units)
2021 Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Spread: 5-5-0 (-0.27 Units)
Money Line: 5-6-0 (+1.50 Units)
Over / Under: 5-7-1 (-2.49 Units)
Bonus Plays 7-5-0 (+6.79 Units)
Overall: 22-23-1 (+5.53 Units)
2020 Prime Time Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Spread: 9-9-0 (-0.87 Units)
Money Line: 4-3-0 (+4.5 Units)
Over / Under: 8-5-0 (+2.18 Units)
Bonus Plays 0-3-0 (-3.00 Units)
Overall: 21-20-0 (+2.82 Units)
2019 Prime Time Record:
Spread: 6-5-0 (-0.73 Units)
Money Line: 3-2-0 (+1.95 Units)
Over / Under: 7-2-0 (+4.37 Units)
Bonus Plays 4-0-0 (+3.07 Units)
Overall: 20-9-0 (+10.12 Units)
Overall Prime Time Record:
Spread: 20-19-0 (-1.87 Units)
Money Line: 12-11-0 (+7.90 Units)
Over / Under: 20-15-1 (+3.06 Units)
Bonus Plays 11-8-0 (+6.86 Units)
Overall: 63-53-1 (+15.95 Units)