Sunday Night Football Betting Guide
Week 6: Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
By: Danny DeAngelis (Twitter: @Daily_Biscuit31)
Week 6 is upon us as we went 0-1 last week though the under hit it was not an official play. This week seems to be a good one as the undefeated Eagles take on the undefeated QB in Cooper Rush. With Dak’s return looming, can Dem’ boys keep pace or will the Eagles Fly Fly Fly to a 2 game lead in the division and remain undefeated?
Sunday Night Football – 10/6
Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia
Dallas Cowboys (4-1-0) @ Philadelphia Eagles (5-0-0)
Weather: 56 degrees, 3-4 MPH winds, 0% chance of precipitation
8:20 p.m. EST; TV: NBC
All Odds are as of October 15th @ 10:30 P.M. EST via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Please Review Any Line Movement & Use Proper Judgment.
The Spread: Cowboys (+6.5, -110) vs Eagles (-6.5, -105) – Read Mario’s against-the-spread article here
2022 DAL 4-1-0
2022 PHI 3-2-1
Lots of history between these two division rivals and as we check in on the past ten matchups the Cowboys have covered seven of the last ten matchups with only two of those games coming as an underdog (five as an underdog), with the Cowboys also covering the last three games (twice as a favorite, once as an underdog). Prior to that the Eagles have covered the previous two games (both at home once as a favorite once as an underdog). Overall in the past five games in Philadelphia the Eagles have only covered twice (-10.5 in 2020, & outright in 2019). Overall the highest spread has 10.5 (Eagles covered as underdogs in 2020), with the lowest being in 2 in 2019 (with the Eagles coving as an underdog). The average number over the past ten matchups sits right around 5, as this week’s game will mark the 2nd highest over the last 10 matchups.
Money Line (ML): Cowboys (+220) vs Eagles (-260)
2022 DAL 4-1-0 (2-0-0 Away; 2-1-0 Home)
2022 PHI 5-0-0 (3-0-0 Away; 2-0-0 Home)
Checking out the Money Line of the past 10 matchups the Eagles have been a favorite in only four of them, with one of those games being won at home (last home win in 2020). While the Cowboys have won the last three games (one on the road and two at home). The Cowboys have won the previous three games and seven of the last nine. The home team has won six of the past seven games with the lone away win being the Cowboys last year.
Over 42 (-110) / Under 42 (-105)
2022 DAL 0-4-1 IN OVERS
2022 PHI 2-3-0 IN OVERS
On to the totals we go. The total has been 50/50 in the last ten games, with the over hitting the last three games overall, prior to that the under was the flavor of the week going under in those previous 3 games, followed by the over again for two then the under again. In the last five games played in Philly the over has hit only twice with the last coming last year as the Cowboys got it on there own putting up 51 (total was 46). The highest total was in 2021 when it was 51 (OVER) with the lowest being 41 (UNDER) in 2017. The average number over the last ten games is around 46.5 – 47 marking this week’s number 5 points lower than the average.
Trends To Watch
Dallas Cowboys
4-0-1 is the UNDER in the last five games vs the NFC.
6-0 ATS is DAL in their last six games in OCT.
10-1-1 is the UNDER in the last twelve games following an ATS WIN.
10-1-1 is the UNDER in the last twelve games following a SU WIN.
10-1 is DAL ATS in the last eleven road games.
Philadelphia Eagles
0-4 is PHI ATS in their last four games gaining more than 350 total yards in their last game.
6-1 is the OVER in their last seven HOME Games.
5-1 is the OVER in their last six games in WEEK SIX.
5-1 is the OVER in their last six games against a team above .500.
4-1 is the UNDER in their last five games on grass.
Head-To-Head
6-1 is the HOME TEAM ATS in the last seven games.
7-2 is DAL, ATS in their last nine games.
10-3 is the FAVORITE in their last thirteen games.
5-2 is the UNDER in the last seven games in PHI.
7-3 is DAL, ATS in their last ten games in PHI.
The Plays
All Odds are as of October 15th @ 10:30 P.M. EST via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Please Review Any Line Movement & Use Proper Judgment.
The Spread: Cowboys (+6.5, -110) vs Eagles (-6.5, -105) – Read Mario’s against-the-spread article here
Money Line (ML): Cowboys (+220) vs Eagles (-260)
Halloween is slowly creeping up on us, and that means pumpkins are showing up everywhere and tonight that is what we will see as the Eagles will feast on Cooper Rush as this will be his second week playing a team with a an above average defense, as he and the cowboys offense had only scored 15 points last week against the Rams. It will be time for the Cinderella story to end and the carriage will turn into a pumpkin as the eagles will fly this week. Unfortunately they are not worth a play at -260 but worth parlaying something in the early window with someone like the Bengals (-140) or Vikings (-155).
The Pick: Pass, Lean with a parlay with CIN or MIN
Over 42 (-110) / Under 42 (-105)
Both teams have great defense. We know this already as they are top10-15 in a majority of the major defensive stats. On the flip side since the injury to Dak in Week One, Dallas has been winning games but doing so with offensive ranks in the bottom 20’s in the league. The only thing Cooper Rush has been doing well for the Cowboys has been not turning the ball over, and the same can be said for the Eagles as each team ranks 1st (Philly) and 2nd (Dallas) fewest turnovers in the league. Dallas has scored 20+ in each of the 4 games Rush has played but all things must come to an end as he will suffer his first loss and the eagles will shut him down
The Play: UNDER 42 (-105)
2022 Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Money Line: 0-3-0 (-3.00 Units)
Over / Under: 0-3-0 (-2.00 Units)
Bonus Plays 1-0-0 (+1.15 Units)
Overall: 1-6-0 (-4.85 Units)
2021 Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Spread: 5-5-0 (-0.27 Units)
Money Line: 5-6-0 (+1.50 Units)
Over / Under: 5-7-1 (-2.49 Units)
Bonus Plays 7-5-0 (+6.79 Units)
Overall: 22-23-1 (+5.53 Units)
2020 Prime Time Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Spread: 9-9-0 (-0.87 Units)
Money Line: 4-3-0 (+4.5 Units)
Over / Under: 8-5-0 (+2.18 Units)
Bonus Plays 0-3-0 (-3.00 Units)
Overall: 21-20-0 (+2.82 Units)
2019 Prime Time Record:
Spread: 6-5-0 (-0.73 Units)
Money Line: 3-2-0 (+1.95 Units)
Over / Under: 7-2-0 (+4.37 Units)
Bonus Plays 4-0-0 (+3.07 Units)
Overall: 20-9-0 (+10.12 Units)
Overall Prime Time Record:
Spread: 20-19-0 (-1.87 Units)
Money Line: 12-11-0 (+7.90 Units)
Over / Under: 20-15-1 (+3.06 Units)
Bonus Plays 11-8-0 (+6.86 Units)
Overall: 63-53-1 (+15.95 Units)