Sunday Night Football Betting Guide
Week 5: Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens
By: Danny DeAngelis (Twitter: @Daily_Biscuit31)
Good news is we are on the board this season with Mike Evans cashing in not one but two touchdowns in last week’s game. Bad news we still had a losing week, but we look to turn that around and the Who Dey Bengals take on the Ravens in M&T Park in Baltimore, so without further adieu let’s dive into it this week.
Sunday Night Football – 10/9
M & T Bank Stadium – Baltimore
Cincinnati Bengals (2-2-0) @ Baltimore Ravens (2-2-0)
Weather: 51 degrees, 5-6 MPH winds, 0% chance of precipitation
8:20 p.m. EST; TV: NBC
All Odds are as of October 8th @ 6 P.M. EST via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Please Review Any Line Movement & Use Proper Judgment.
The Spread: Bengals (+3.5, -115) vs Ravens (-3.5, -105) – Read Mario’s against-the-spread article here
2022 CIN 2-2-0
2022 BAL 2-1-1
Lots of history between these two division rivals and as we check in on the past ten matchups the Bengals have covered six of the last ten matchups with only two of those games coming as favorite (four as an underdog), with the Bengals also covering the last two games (once as a favorite, once as an underdog). Prior to that the Ravens have covered the previous three games (all double digit favorites and once at home). Overall in the past five games in Baltimore the Ravens have only covered once (-12.5 in 2020). Another trend that has followed has been over the last nine games, no team has not covered less than three times in a row. Overall the highest spread has 13.5 (Ravens covered as a favorites in 2020), with the lowest being in 1 in 2018 (with the Bengals coving as a favorite as well). The average number over the past ten matchups sits right around 8, as there has been spreads that have been over 7 6 of those past ten games.
Money Line (ML): Bengals (+145) vs Ravens (-175)
2022 CIN 2-2-0 (1-1-0 Away; 1-1-0 Home)
2022 BAL 2-2-0 (2-0-0 Away; 0-2-0 Home)
Checking out the Money Line of the past 10 matchups the Ravens have been a favorite in seven of them, with only three of those games being won at home (last home win in 2020). While the Bengals have won the last two games (split home and away). The Ravens have won the previous five following that and six of the previous eight. The home team has won five of the past ten games with the Ravens winning three of those five, and their last coming in 2020).
Over 47.5 (-110) / Under 47.5 (-110)
2022 CIN 0-4-0 IN OVERS
2022 BAL 2-2-0 IN OVERS
On to the totals we go. The total has been 60/40 in the last ten games in favor of the over and the O/U going over 3-2 over the last five games. In the last five games played in Baltimore the over three times with the latest coming last season. The highest total was in 2020 when it was 49 (UNDER) with the lowest being 40 (OVER) in 2017. The average number over the last five games is around 44-44.5 marking this week’s number 3 points higher than the average.
Trends To Watch
Cincinnati Bengals
9-0 is the UNDER in CIN last nine games.
4-0 is the UNDER in CIN last four games when passing for more than 250 yards in their last game.
6-0 is the UNDER in CIN last six games when gaining 350 total yards in their game.
4-0 is the UNDER in CIN last four games allowing more than 250 passing yards in their previous game.
4-0 is the UNDER in CIN last four games allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Baltimore Ravens
5-0 is BAL, ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.
4-1 is the UNDER in BAL last five games when rushing for less than 150 yards in their last game.
4-12 is BAL, ATS in their last 16 games in WEEK 5 games.
8-3 is BAL, ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss.
18-7-1 is BAL, ATS in their last 26 games when passing for less than 150 yards in their last game.
Head-To-Head
4-1 is the FAVORITE in the last five games.
4-1 is BAL in the last five games in BAL.
5-2 is the ROAD team ATS in the last seven games.
The Plays
All Odds are as of October 8th @ 6 P.M. EST via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Please Review Any Line Movement & Use Proper Judgment.
The Spread: Bengals (+3.5, -115) vs Ravens (-3.5, -105) – Read Mario’s against-the-spread article here
Money Line (ML): Bengals (+145) vs Ravens (-175)
The Bengals seem to have turned it around after beating both the Jets and Dolphins in back to back weeks looking more like the Super Bowl Bengals of last year than the lowly Bengals we seen before the Joe Burrow Era, meanwhile the Ravens have been alternating wins and losses and this week would set up for a win after they played the AFC east gauntlet beating who they should have (Jets and Patriots) while blowing the lead to the Dolphins and then a questionable 4th down play. The Ravens could easily be 4-0, but they have shown when it comes to playing a team of playoff caliber” they tend to crumble leaving me to take the Bengals as for the upset win.
The Pick: Bengals (+145)
Over 47.5 (-110) / Under 47.5 (-110)
The total this week is one of the highest it’s been all year on Sunday Night. Based on trends alone this game will “trend” to go under, but history shows the OVER is more these teams’ styles when they meet as it has gone over 6 of the last 10 matchups and over twice in past two games. This game is going to rely on what side of the ball is going to perform as the Ravens Offense in the majority of the categories where the Bengals are on the other side of those rankings in the bottom half. While on the other side the Bengals are top 15 in the league defensively while the Ravens are bottom 15, so something will have to give, but if I had to lean it would be on the under.
The Play: LEAN Under 47.5 (-110)
2022 Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Money Line: 0-2-0 (-2.00 Units)
Over / Under: 0-3-0 (-2.00 Units)
Bonus Plays 1-0-0 (+1.15 Units)
Overall: 1-5-0 (-3.85 Units)
2021 Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Spread: 5-5-0 (-0.27 Units)
Money Line: 5-6-0 (+1.50 Units)
Over / Under: 5-7-1 (-2.49 Units)
Bonus Plays 7-5-0 (+6.79 Units)
Overall: 22-23-1 (+5.53 Units)
2020 Prime Time Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Spread: 9-9-0 (-0.87 Units)
Money Line: 4-3-0 (+4.5 Units)
Over / Under: 8-5-0 (+2.18 Units)
Bonus Plays 0-3-0 (-3.00 Units)
Overall: 21-20-0 (+2.82 Units)
2019 Prime Time Record:
Spread: 6-5-0 (-0.73 Units)
Money Line: 3-2-0 (+1.95 Units)
Over / Under: 7-2-0 (+4.37 Units)
Bonus Plays 4-0-0 (+3.07 Units)
Overall: 20-9-0 (+10.12 Units)
Overall Prime Time Record:
Spread: 20-19-0 (-1.87 Units)
Money Line: 12-11-0 (+7.90 Units)
Over / Under: 20-15-1 (+3.06 Units)
Bonus Plays 11-8-0 (+6.86 Units)
Overall: 63-53-1 (+15.95 Units)