Sunday Night Football Betting Guide
Week 3: San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos
By: Danny DeAngelis (Twitter: @Daily_Biscuit31)
Let’s Ride! Sunday Night Football heads to Mile High as the Broncos will be playing their second Primetime game in three weeks (loss to Seahawks Week 1). A Jimmy G led 49ers team will look to prevent Russ from cooking (or starting to cook) for the first time this year. So Broncos (or 9ers Country), LET’S RIDE!
Sunday Night Football – 9/25
Lambeau Field – Green Bay, Wisconsin
San Francisco 49ers (1-1-0) @ Denver Broncos (1-1-0)
Weather: 72 degrees, 6-7 MPH winds, 0% chance of precipitation
8:20 p.m. EST; TV: NBC
All Odds are as of September 24th @ 7:30 PM EST via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Please Review Any Line Movement & Use Proper Judgment.
The Spread: 49ers (-1.5, -110) vs Broncos (+1.5, -110) – Read Mario’s against-the-spread article here
2022 SF 1-1-0
2022 DEN 0-2-0
Not a lot to go off of when it comes to these two teams as they met only 4 times in the past 17 years. Over those four games the 49ers have covered the spread three of those four games (twice as an underdog), while Denver has only covered once (as a favorite). This will be the fifth time they meet (twice in SF and Twice in DEN) with the 49ers covering only once (2006) on the road. Denver’s lone cover was in 2014 at home (-6.5) Of the four matchups the overage spread has been around 5-5.5 points, with the highest being 10 (San Francisco covered in 2014) and the lowest being 2 (San Francisco covered in 2010)
Money Line (ML): 49ers (-120) @ Broncos (+105)
2022 SF 1-1-0 (0-1-0 Away; 1-0-0 Home)
2022 DEN 1-1-0 (0-1-0 Away; 1-0-0 Home)
Checking out the Money Line of the past four matchups the 49ers have been a underdog three of the last four games with there lone game as a favorite in 2010 (Won 24-16). The other two games San Fran has won were as underdogs (in 2006 & 2018). The home team has won three of the last four matchups with Denver winning just once at home (2014) along with a OT loss in 2006.
Over 44.5 (-110) / Under 44.5 (-110)
2022 SF 0-2-0 IN OVERS
2022 DEN 0-2-0 IN OVERS
On to the totals. The total has been split with the O/U going 2-2 over the last four games, and alternating Under / Over / Under / Over during that span. The highest total awas in 2014 when it was 48 (Over) with the lowest being 38 (also over) in 2006. What is the most interesting of both the overs have hit in Denver with the Unders both in San Fran. The average number over the last four games is around 43-43.5 slightly below this week’s number of 44.5 by a point.
Trends To Watch
San Francisco 49ers
5-0 is the UNDER in SF’s last five games.
4-0 is the UNDER in SF’s last four games after gaining 350+ total yards in their last game.
4-0 is the UNDER in SF’s last four games after allowing less than 90 rushing yards in their last game.
6-0 is the UNDER in SF’s last six games on grass.
4-0 is the UNDER in SF’s last four ROAD games.
Denver Broncos
10-0-1 is the UNDER in DEN’s last 11 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their last game.
6-0 is the UNDER in DEN’s last six games in SEPTEMBER.
0-4 is DEN ATS in their last games following a Straight up win.
1-5 is DEN ATS in their last six games.
1-5 is DEN ATS in their last six games allowing less than 90 rushing yards in their previous game.
Head-To-Head
The Plays
All Odds are as of September 24th @ 7:30 PM EST via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Please Review Any Line Movement & Use Proper Judgment.
The Spread: 49ers (-1.5, -110) vs Broncos (+1.5, -110) – Read Mario’s against-the-spread article here
Money Line (ML): 49ers (-120) @ Broncos (+105)
Over 44.5 (-110) / Under 44.5 (-110)
There unfortunately are no plays this week, Russ is still getting used to Denver, and Jimmy G was thrown to the fire last week when Tray Lance was unfortunately injured for the season. There is too much inconsistency of both teams this year so early in the year to have a play on this game. I hope the trends listed above help you pick a side but next we will be back for Brady and Maholmes in Week 4.
2022 Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Money Line: 0-1-0 (-1.00 Units)
Over / Under: 0-2-0 (-2.00 Units)
Bonus Plays 0-0-0 (+0.00 Units)
Overall: 0-3-0 (-3.00 Units)
2021 Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Spread: 5-5-0 (-0.27 Units)
Money Line: 5-6-0 (+1.50 Units)
Over / Under: 5-7-1 (-2.49 Units)
Bonus Plays 7-5-0 (+6.79 Units)
Overall: 22-23-1 (+5.53 Units)
2020 Prime Time Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Spread: 9-9-0 (-0.87 Units)
Money Line: 4-3-0 (+4.5 Units)
Over / Under: 8-5-0 (+2.18 Units)
Bonus Plays 0-3-0 (-3.00 Units)
Overall: 21-20-0 (+2.82 Units)
2019 Prime Time Record:
Spread: 6-5-0 (-0.73 Units)
Money Line: 3-2-0 (+1.95 Units)
Over / Under: 7-2-0 (+4.37 Units)
Bonus Plays 4-0-0 (+3.07 Units)
Overall: 20-9-0 (+10.12 Units)
Overall Prime Time Record:
Spread: 20-19-0 (-1.87 Units)
Money Line: 12-11-0 (+7.90 Units)
Over / Under: 20-15-1 (+3.06 Units)
Bonus Plays 11-8-0 (+6.86 Units)
Overall: 63-53-1 (+15.95 Units)