Sunday Night Football Betting Guide
Week 16: Washington Football Team (6-8) @ Dallas Cowboys (10-4)
By: Danny DeAngelis (Twitter: @Daily_Biscuit31)
Well, last week was unexpected to say the least, as Tom Brady and the Buccaneers not only lost but got shutout against the Saints where the over didn’t even come close to hitting. This week we are headed to Jerry’s world as the Football Team tries to stay in the NFC playoff race.
Sunday Night Football
Washington (6-8-0, 3rd Place in the NFC East) @Dallas (10-4-0 1st Place in NFC East)
Weather: 73 degrees, Dome
8:20 p.m. EST; TV: NBC
Inside The Numbers
All Odds are as of December 25th @ 2PM EST via DraftKings Sportsbook, Please Review Any Line Movement & Use Proper Judgment.
The Spread: Football Team (+10.5, -110) @ Cowboys (-10.5, 110)
2021 WAS 5-8-1 ATS
2021 DAL 11-3-0 ATS
The tale of two division rivals come into Sunday’s match up heading in two directions. The past 10 matchups have been one-sided as Dallas has covered six of ten, and four of its last six, of those six games Dallas has covered four have been at home. Meanwhile Washington has covered twice in Dallas, last time coming last yeason in a 41-16 blow out. This week marks the 8th consecutive game Dallas has been a favorite and it is the second highest spread over the last ten games. Just like last week this week’s game features a big jump in the average spread as the average number has been 4.5 – 5 points basically doubling this week.
Money Line (ML): Football Team (+375) @ Cowboys (-500)
2021 WAS 6-8-0 (3-4-0 Road)
2021 DAL 10-4-0 (4-2-0 Home)
Just like the Cowboys have owned the spread they have also owned the heads up department also. They are 7-3 heads up against the Football Team but it has been a bit of a back and forth with each team going on mini win streaks against each other. Dallas has won four of seven at home with their last win at home coming in 2019, and look to start another win streak against the Football Team.
Over 46.5 (-110) / Under 46.5 (-110)
2021 WAS OVER 6-8-0
2021 DAL OVER 6-8-0
Touchdowns are plentiful when these teams meet as the over has hit seven of the past ten matchups and three of the past five. This week’s number comes in at the seventh highest over the last ten games. The margin is split when it comes to how much the O/U has hit as five times the number has been hit by a margin of 10 or more points. This week’s number is just slightly below the average coming in at 45.5 – 46 points on average.
Trends to Watch
Washington Football Team
3-0-1 ATS in their last four games after gaining less than 250 total yards in the previous game.
0-3-1 ATS in their last four games against the NFC East.
9-1 is the OVER in the last ten games when allowing more than 150 rushing yards in their last game.
6-1 is the UNDER in their last seven games when playing in December.
1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Dallas Cowboys
5-0 is the UNDER in the last five games following a ATS win.
5-0 is the UNDER in the last five games following a STRAIGHT UP win.
5-0 is the UNDER in the last five games against the NFC.
6-0 ATS in their last six games in December.
4-0 ATS in their last four games against a team with a losing record.
Head-To-Head
6-0 is the OVER in the last six games when playing in Dallas.
9-3 is the OVER in the last twelve games.
10-4 is the Football Team ATS in the last fourteen games in Dallas.
29-14 is the underdog in the last forty-three games.
The Plays
All Odds are as of December 25th @ 2PM EST via DraftKings Sportsbook, Please Review Any Line Movement & Use Proper Judgment.
The Spread: Football Team (+10.5, -110) @ Cowboys (-10.5, -110) – Read Mario’s against-the-spread article here
Money Line (ML): Football Team (+375) @ Cowboys (-500)
Dallas really hasn’t dominated a team as of late, as they tend to let teams hang around just enough to make things a game, or they will allow a team to come back to make things interesting. They easily should have blown out the Giants and didn’t, they let Washington back in the game two weeks ago, and then barely escaped New Orleans before that. Taylor Heinike looks to take back the quarterback duties this week and what is basically a due or die game for Washington, Ron Rivera will have his team ready to play and won’t go down without a fight. There is lots to like in terms of value for The Football Team and should keep it close and can win outright to keep their playoff hopes alive.
THE PICK: Football Team +375
Over 46.5 (-110) / Under 46.5 (-110)
Full disclosure, I’m giving up on an over-under play after what has been happening over the past few weeks, but in all seriousness this game has all the makings of a grind it out type of game where we see each team running the game and a low-scoring type of contest should be in store, but like I mentioned I’m staying away from it as of late the unexpected has been happening way to often.
THE PICK: PASS
Bonus
THE PICK: Pass
Week 15 NO @ TB Recap:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Spread: PASS
Moneyline: PASS
O/U: Over 45.5 (LOSS)
Bonus Play: PASS
2021 Prime Time Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Spread: 0-1-0 (-1.00 Units)
Money Line: 2-4-0 (-0.60 Units)
Over / Under: 2-6-1 (-4.22 Units)
Bonus Plays 3-1-0 (+4.07 Units)
Overall: 7-12-1 (-1.75 Units)
2020 Prime Time Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Spread: 9-9-0 (-0.87 Units)
Money Line: 4-3-0 (+4.5 Units)
Over / Under: 8-5-0 (+2.18 Units)
Bonus Plays 0-3-0 (-3.00 Units)
Overall: 20-18-0 (+2.82 Units)
2019 Prime Time Record:
Spread: 6-5-0 (-0.73 Units)
Money Line: 3-2-0 (+1.95 Units)
Over / Under: 7-2-0 (+4.37 Units)
Bonus Plays 4-0 (+3.07 Units)
Overall: 20-9-0 (+10.12 Units)
Overall Prime Time Record:
Spread: 15-14-0 (-1.60 Units)
Money Line: 7-5-0 (+6.45 Units)
Over / Under: 15-5-0 (+6.55 Units)
Bonus Plays 4-3 (+0.07 Units)
Overall: 40-27-0 (+11.46 Units)