Conference Championships 2021-2022 Betting Guide
By: Danny DeAngelis (Twitter: @Daily_Biscuit31)
What a weekend last week was. Every game had drama and we experienced it first hand coming away from the weekend going 3-1 finishing the weekend up 2.07 units. This week 4 teams will play for the first to play in the Super Bowl in L.A. Will we see for the second year in a row a team play in their home stadium? Will Joe “cool” Burrow dethrone Maholmes to bring the Bengals to the promised land? Only time will tell and I have you covered for the championship games.
As always, make sure you follow Mario’s ATS Plays for the weekend as well.
Cincinnati Bengals (12-7) @ Kansas City Chiefs (14-5)
Sunday 3 P.M. EST; TV: CBS
Line movement hasn’t happened too much for the spread as it only moved half a point since Sunday night, the total has moved up 4.5 points since opening as 81% is on the over in what could be another instant classic with the Chiefs. Finding an edge in the game was fairly simple, as I broke down each aspect. First the total, this can go one of two ways… how the public sees it as high-scoring or a one-sided affair in terms of the Chiefs just running away? With that said and it being two variables I’m avoiding the total. The money line is tempting with the Bengals at +285 so they do hold value to upset the Chiefs. The play I’m going for is the spread since it is at a key number of 7.5. If it was just at 7 the game would be a pass but the hook is very enticing when taking the Bengals as even if a back-and-forth game occurs or not I can see the Bengals covering all of the three aspects.
THE PICK: CINCINNATI BENGALS +7.5, -110.
Note: If the Bengals reach +300 they are worth a play based of value, also a live play of the Chiefs depending on price would be worth looking into.
San Francisco 49ers (12-7) @ Los Angeles Rams (14-5)
Sunday 6:30 P.M. EST; TV: FOX
Weather: 54 Degrees, 13-14 MPH Wind, 0% Chance of Precipitation
What is likely the “game of the week” with everyone on the Chiefs this game is going to be likely the biggest disappointment of the week. With guard Trent Williams banged up the Rams defense is going to have a field day just like they did last week against the Buccaneers. With that being said it’s going to be all Rams. Garoppolo hasn’t thrown for over two touchdowns since week 14 (6 weeks), that is first. Second, it is very hard to beat a team three times in one year, something the 49ers look to do this weekend, and lastly — and yes this will be a very very corny reason — but Prince Charming will turn into a pumpkin and the magic ride of Jimmy G and the 9ers will end just simply because the Rams are better and will do so convincingly.
THE PICK: LOS ANGELES RAMS -3.5, -110.
Division Round Recap
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
CIN / TEN Under 47.5, -110 WIN
GREEN BAY PACKERS -5.5, -110 LOSS
LOS ANGELES RAMS ML +125 WIN
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -1.5, -110 WIN
Overall: 3-1 (+2.07 Units)
2021 Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Spread: 3-4-0 (-1.09 Units)
Money Line: 5-6-0 (+1.50 Units)
Over / Under: 5-7-1 (-2.49 Units)
Bonus Plays 4-1-0 (+7.57 Units)
Overall: 17-18-1 (+5.49 Units)
2020 Prime Time Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Spread: 9-9-0 (-0.87 Units)
Money Line: 4-3-0 (+4.5 Units)
Over / Under: 8-5-0 (+2.18 Units)
Bonus Plays 0-3-0 (-3.00 Units)
Overall: 20-18-0 (+2.82 Units)
2019 Prime Time Record:
Spread: 6-5-0 (-0.73 Units)
Money Line: 3-2-0 (+1.95 Units)
Over / Under: 7-2-0 (+4.37 Units)
Bonus Plays 4-0 (+3.07 Units)
Overall: 20-9-0 (+10.12 Units)
Overall Prime Time Record:
Spread: 15-14-0 (-1.60 Units)
Money Line: 7-5-0 (+6.45 Units)
Over / Under: 15-5-0 (+6.55 Units)
Bonus Plays 4-3 (+0.07 Units)
Overall: 40-27-0 (+11.46 Units)