NHL on TNT
April 13, 2022
New York Rangers @ Philadelphia Flyers 7:00 P.M. EST.
Los Angeles Kings @ Colorado Avalanche 9:30 P.M. EST.
By: Danny DeAngelis (Twitter: @Daily_Biscuit31)
Early into last week’s Lightning / Capitals games, it looked like for sure the under 6.5 was dead in the water with 5 goals in the first period but we made it a sweat and did lose but at least kept us interested for the whole game. We come back with two games this week and only two more weeks of Wednesday night picks before the Stanley Cup Playoffs Begin. At Least this week we don’t have to watch the Kraken for the 10th time this week.
New York Rangers @ Philadelphia Flyers 7 P.M. EST
Projected Goalies: Alexandra Georgiev (NYR) @ Martin Jones (PHI)
*Please Check On Twitter Closer To Gametime for Goalie Confirmation.*
Money Line: NYR -205 @ PHI +170
NYR: 47-21-3-3
PHI: 23-39-7-4
-NYR is 6-1 in their last seven road games.
-NYR is 4-1 in their last five Wednesday games.
-PHI is 1-5 in their last six Wednesday games.
-PHI is 5-23 in their last 28 games. After scoring two or less in their previous game.
-FAVORITE is 16-7 in the last 23 games.
Over 6, -110 / Under 6, -110
NYR: 29-42 IN OVERS
PHI: 39-34 IN OVERS
-OVER is 3-0-1 in NYR last four games when their opponent scores 2 or more in the last game.
-OVER is 4-0 in NYR last four Wednesday games.
-OVER is 4-1 in NYR last five games when their opponent allows five or more goals in the last game.
-OVER is 4-0 in PHI last four games following a 3+ goal loss.
-OVER is 5-1 in PHI last six when their opponent scores 2 or less in their last game.
-UNDER is 5-1 in PHI last six Wednesday night games.
-UNDER is 5-1 in the last six games against each other.
Puck line: NYR -1.5, +120 @ PHI +1.5, -145
NYR: 37-37 ATS
PHI: 34-39 ATS
In the previous 10 games here is how the breakdown has looked for the puck line.
-PHI +1.5 4 Times
-PHI – 1.5 1 Time
-NYR +1.5 1 Time
-NYR -1.5 4 Times
Los Angeles Kings @ Colorado Avalanche 9:30 P.M. EST
Projected Goalies: Cal Petersen (LAK) @ Darcy Kuemper (COL)
*Please Check On Twitter Closer To Gametime for Goalie Confirmation.*
Money Line: LAK +195 @ COL -250
LAK: 39-26-6-4
COL: 52-14-5-1
-LAK is 5-0 in their last five games in the third game of a three game in four day stretch.
-LAK is 6-0 in their last six games playing on 0 days rest.
-LAK is 1-6 in their last seven after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
-LAK is 1-6 in their last seven following a win.
-COL is 6-0 in their last six games when their opponent scores 5+ in their last game.
-COL is 4-0 in their last four games against a team with a winning record.
-COL is 48-9 in the last 57 games as a HOME favorite.
-LAK are 0-4 in the past four games in COL.
-LAK are 0-8 in the past eight games overall against COL.
-FAVORITE is 20-8 in the past 28 games.
Over 6, -110 / Under 6, -110
LAK: 33-40 IN OVERS
COL: 37-30 IN OVERS
-UNDER is 4-1 in the last five LAK Games.
-UNDER is 5-0 in COL last five games against the Pacific.
-UNDER is 13-2-1 in COL last 16 games against a team with a winning record.
-UNDER is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.
Puck line: LAK +1.5, -125 @ COL -1.5, +105
LAK: 46-29 ATS
COL 35-37 ATS
In the previous 10 games LAK has never been a favorite, and have only covered the puck line three times in the past ten, with one outright victory.
ere is how the breakdown has looked for the puck line
The Plays:
NYR @ PHI
There is basically little to nothing to like about any of these numbers in tonight’s matchup. The Rangers are a huge favorite and rightfully so heading into Philadelphia(3-7-0, L10) there is some slight value on the ML for the flyers at +17 but it’s not that enticing with both teams playing yesterday. The total is also not something that is very enticing with Georgiev (likely with Igor playing last night) likely in net he is the one that worries me, not Martin Jones, as his play has been a rollercoaster as of late. Lastly, that brings us to the puckline, where again no value is to be had there as the Rangers are only +120 (-1.5). So I will be passing on these just like I did a few weeks back when the Rangers played in Detroit. The play I will be making is Chris Kreider to score a Power Play Point at +195. If I need to remind anyone he scored his 50th goal last night in the loss to Carolina. He is the league leader in power-play goals (we aren’t even asking him to score a goal here), and just like Detroit a few weeks ago, the Flyers’ PK is ranked in the bottom of the league (23rd). So look for the Rangers to get back on track after last night’s powerless power-play opportunities against a woeful Flyers team.
The Play: CHRIS KREIDER POWER PLAY POINT +195
LAK @ COL
Once I saw the Kraken will not be featured this week on the nightcap I was wondering who would be and we are in for a special treat getting to watch the likely President Trophy winners in the Avalanche take on a surprising Kings team who no one thought would be in the playoff picture. So much to unwrap here as this is going to be a heavily played game for me with so much value at stake. First the Moneyline… Cal Petersen will likely be in net for the Kings and that’s ok as he is more than a suitable “backup” as his numbers are just as good as Quick, if not better in some regards. The only worry for me is the game is in Colorado, and they haven’t played since Saturday, but that doesn’t mean the Kings don’t hold value at +195 (some books have them at +220 so shop around). The Kings are also battling to stay in the Wild Card / Top 3 hunt so they are strong underdogs that won’t just come out to be playing just to play, like in the earlier game. Now to the total, as you see in the trends, these teams play a great defensive game with strong goaltending behind them. Both goaltenders’ GAA is slightly above a 5 in about 80 games played between the two, based on trends, stats, and how well both these two play in their own blue line defensively grab the under. Lastly, the puckline. Not every day do you see a team GETTING goals to be so close to even money (LAK currently at -120). If they can’t pull off the upset they will for sure keep it close, even though recent trends prove otherwise, but it is move of a hedge / value play at this point. If they win we take both if they lose in overtime or SO-type game we won’t be hurt too bad only losing one of the two.
The Play: KINGS +195 ML
The Play: UNDER 6, -110
The Play: LAK +1.5, -120
NHL National Weekly Games
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
March 30th 2022 Recap:
The Play: UNDER 6.5, -125 LOSS
0-1 (-1.00 Units)
2022 Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Puck Line: 1-2-0 (-0.95 Units)
Money Line: 0-0-0
Over / Under: 4-3-0 (+0.95 Units)
Value Plays: 0-3-0 (-3.00 Units)
Prop Bets: 1-0-0 (+0.87 Units)
Overall: 6-8-0 (-2.13 Units)