NHL on TNT
March 2nd, 2022
St. Louis @ New York 7:30 P.M. Est.
Nashville @ Seattle 10:00 P.M. Est.
By: Danny DeAngelis (Twitter: @Daily_Biscuit31)
We return this week after a promising start last week as the OVER in the EDM/TB game got smashed as they scored 8 goals. While the Coyotes fell short to the Kings losing 3-2 in a close game that they had their chances to win. This week the Blues come to The World’s Most Famous Arena on the east coast, while the Preds take on the expansion Kraken in the late game. Remember it’s never too late to get some of your future bets in so check in on our pre-season future article to get some value while you can on some of our pre-season picks mid-season!
St. Louis Blues @ New York Rangers 7:30 PM
Projected Goalies: Jordan Binnington (STL) @ Alexander Georgiev (NYR)
*Please Check On Closer To Gametime for Goalie Confirmation.*
Money Line: STL -110 @ NYR -110
STL: 32-14-4-4
NYR 33-15-3-2
-STL is 8-0 in their last eight games with 2 days of rest.
-STL is 4-1 in the last five games following a WIN.
-STL is 4-1 in the last five games against the Eastern Conference.
-NYR is 5-0 in the last five games following a loss of 3 goals or more.
-STL is 9-4 in the last thirteen games in New York (MSG)
Over 5.5 -115 / Under 5.5 -102
STL: 23-25 In OVERS
NYR: 18-33 In OVERS
-OVER is 5-0-1 in STL last six games as a UNDERDOG.
-OVER is 4-0-1 in STL last five games as a road UNDERDOG.
-UNDER is 5-1 in the last six games for NYR.
-UNDER is 5-1 in the last six games when they are a HOME FAVORITE.
-OVER is 5-1 in the last six games against a team with a winning %
-UNDER is 12-3-1 in the last sixteen games following a HOME loss of 3 or more.
Puck line: STL -1.5, -+225 @ NYR +1.5, 280
STL: 31-21 ATS
NYR: 26-27 ATS
Nashville Predators @ Seattle Kraken 10 PM
Projected Goalies: Juuse Saros (NAS) @Philipp Grubauer (SEA)
*Please Check On Closer To Gametime for Goalie Confirmation.*
Money Line: NASH -165 @ SEA +145
NASH: 30-19-2-2
SEA: 16-34-4-1
-NASH is 0-5 in the last five games when their opponent has scored two or less goals in the previous game.
-NASH is 1-7 in the last eight games played on WEDNESDAY.
-SEA is 0-5 in their last five games after scoring two or fewer goals in their last game.
-SEA is 0-4 in the last four games when having 2 days of rest.
-SEA is 0-5 in their last five games against teams with a winning record.
-SEA is 1-12 against the Central Division.
-SEA is 1-10 in their last eleven games as a HOME UNDERDOG.
-ROAD TEAM is 2-0 in their only meetings this year.
Over 5.5 -120 / Under 5.5 +100
NASH: 30-23 In OVERS
SEA 31-22 In OVERS
-OVER is 6-0 in NASH last six games as a ROAD FAVORITES
-OVER is 5-0 in NASH last five games on WEDNESDAY.
-OVER is 8-1 in NASH last nine road games.
-OVER Is 2-0 in their only meetings this year.
Puck Line: NASH -1.5, +145 @ SEA +1.5, -165
NASH: 31-22 ATS
SEA: 24-31 ATS
Unlike last week where the plays were based on a trend this week offers a bit of a different approach as both games feature teams that don’t play each other too often due to being in different conferences or do not have much history since Seattle is an expansion team in the league. So let’s get right down to the plays this week shall we?
The Plays:
STL / NYR UNDER 5.5 -105
Both teams “Starting” goaltenders look to be between the pipes on Wednesday as Igor should be starting after sitting in the second of a B2B on Sunday. Binnington looks to start his third game in almost a calendar month. Igor has the capability of shutting down any team on any given night as he has only given up 12 goals in the past 8 games he has appeared in (1.5 GAA in that span). He is a serious contender and favorite for the Vezna and also among top five in the Hart Trophy. On the flip side it seems like the magical Stanley Cup Run is behind the Blues as Binnington is 13-10-2 this year with a whopping 3.12 GAA this season. While Ville Husso is 13-3-1 with a 2.03 GAA (sound familiar to Blues fans?). We all know what Binnington is capable of doing and how he can play. It’s just a matter of what version of Jordan Binnington we will get. Igor alone with the way he has been playing gives this under a real shot, and if by some chance Husso gets the start we can see the under 5.5 jump up to about -120 so grab what appears to be the best number now while you can.
NASH / SEA NASH -1.5, +145
NASH / SEA OVER 5.5 (PLAY AT -110 or better)
Let’s break this one down shall we…. let’s start with the Money Line. There is no value at all with Seattle, and yes it goes against what I mentioned last week when I said there was value on the Coyotes home against the Kings, but the Predators are a much better team than the Kings hence no value on the Kraken. Next up we have the total of 5.5, as mentioned above based on trend the over seems to be a sure lock, and I agree with that trend, along with both of their matchups going over 5.5 both times in their only two meetings. The only thing I don’t like is the juice. If you can find it at -110 or better it is worth a play, on the flip side the UNDER is only +100, again just not great odds for it for a value play. Now to the puck line this is where I really like a good team against a bad team. In Nashville’s last 10 games they are only 4-6 but in those four wins they have been a favorite twice and covered the puck line (one game against Seattle). On the flip side Seattle is 2-8 in their last 10 games and failed to cover the puck line six times of those eight games.
NHL National Weekly Games
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
STL / NYR UNDER 5.5 -105
NASH -1.5, +145
NASH / SEA OVER 5.5 (PLAY AT -110 or better)
2/23/22 Recap:
EDM / TB OVER 6.5 -110 WIN
ARZ +180 VALUE PLAY LOSS
2021 Record:
All plays are 1 unit risked unless noted
Puck Line: 0-0-0
Money Line: 0-0-0
Over / Under: 1-0-0 (0.91 Units)
Value Plays: 0-1-0 (-1.00 Units)
Overall: 1-1-0 (-0.09 Units)