NHL on ESPN
January 11th, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs @ New York Islanders 7:00 PM EST.
By: Danny DeAngelis (X: @Daily_Biscuit31) via @Sporfolio
Back at it again on the backend of a back to back for us at @Sporfolio as tonight the Leafs take on the Islanders in Long Island, and we have a rare Saturday Day game coming up this week as the Rangers take on the Capitals. Let’s keep the momentum rolling full steam ahead!
Make sure you are following my X handle @Daily_Biscuit31 for any other NHL Plays outside the national games, goalie updates and more!
Toronto Maple Leafs @ New York Islanders 7:00 PM EST.
Projected Goalies: Martin Jones (TOR) @ Ilya Sorokin (NYI)
*Jones Is Confirmed* as of Yesterday
Money Line: TOR -130 @ NYI +110
TOR: 21-10-7 (11-3-5 AWAY)
NYI: 18-12-10 (10-5-6 HOME)
L10: 6-4 In Favor of TOR
2023: NYI is 1-0 winning the sole game this year in OT in NY.
Over 6.5, -120 / Under 6.5, +100
TOR: 20-17-1 In OVERS
NYI: 21-19-0 In OVERS
L10: the O/U is 3-6-2 in favor of the UNDER
2023: the U/O is 0-0-1 this year pushing at 7 last meeting.
Puck line: TOR -1.5, +175 @ NYI +1.5, -225
TOR: 16-26-0 ATS
TOR: 21-19-0 ATS
2023: NYI is 1-0 when getting 1.5 goals, winning outright in the last meeting.
The Plays:
TOR @ NYI
None of these lines for tonight’s game sticks out as a must play. If i had to pick a side it would be Toronto ML but as i always said i hate paying the juice. The total is a bit inflated along with the spread, but when looking at the matchups head to head i was trying to think outside the box and see where value can be had, and in a line that is typically in soccer applies to hockey as well as the three way line (game to go to Overtime) is at +350. The reason why this is appealing is in the last 10 matchups they have gone to overtime, and of those 10 four have been one goal games, the rest have been one sided (2 goals or more differential in the other 6). Sometimes the answers are not always right in front of you but with two teams as evenly matched as these overtime or a SO will be the way to settle it.
The Play: 3-Way Money Line – TIE (TO GO TO OVERTIME) +320
1/10 Results
MIN @ DAL Over 6.5 +100 (WIN)
VGK @ COL Under 6.5 -115 (WIN)
2023/2024 Season Record (All plays are worth 1 Unit)
Money Line 5-8 (-2.91)
O/U 10-4-0 (5.11)
Puck Line 3-5 (-1.01)
Specials 0-1 (-1.00)
Overall 18-17-0-0 (0.20)