In this column, I go through the night’s NHL games and give my reads solely based on lines, odds, betting trends, and how I perceive others perceive the game. It’s the reading of all lines, and I try to keep a free-flowing, train-of-thought approach. The purpose of these reads is to find an edge either in DFS, actual picks, or both. Sometimes, no edge exists — or simply can’t be found. I make it a point to note that, as well. As always, please do your own research and due diligence and play responsibly.
NYI/NYD – A shift in the odds for the point total, where the over is now “favored,” but people disagree. That’s interesting. The only times we see people completely target an under is when they easily expect one offense to fail. Enter NJD. It helps that the Devils are decently-sized underdogs that has increased, so we need to be careful here. The assumption has to be that the people are wrong about the point total, where six goals is more likely than five. I’d love to think there’s an edge with NJD, therefore, but I don’t see it. The “right” answer is probably just to use some offense from NYI. Call it 4-2/5-1 NYI.
CAR/DET – The odds are finally starting to respect the possibility that the game might go over, and people are in full agreement. That pushes me to think it’s