It was only natural.
I led last week’s column praising how wonderful Week 2 is on a yearly basis, and it turned into Week 3 being on the losing side.
Barely. And that’s obviously a good thing.
I write about regression all the time, and the key is to let it happen in smaller steps so that our wins could be bigger.
With that, we turn to Week 4, the near-quarter-mark of the season and find that, once again, the spreads are giving us a solid indication of what we should expect.
Below are predictions for each game against the spread. Spreads have been taken from various websites and are subject to change. The spread in parenthesis denotes the selected team. Spread is listed as advertised number and odds at either DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook, or Fanatics Sportsbook (formerly PointsBet). All efforts were made to provide picks at -110 or better, with some stretching to a -125 if no reasonable advertised spread was found.
*Confidence Picks – 2024 Season: 9-10 (Last Week: 1-5)
(2023 Season: 63-61-4) (2022 Season: 54-54-5) (2021 Season: 55-50) (2020 Season: 53-42-3) (2019 Season: 57-43-3) (2018 Season: 63-48-4) (2017 Season: 53-48-4) (2016 Season: 53-67-3) (2015 Season: 69-45-2) (2014 Season: 61-46-2) (10-Year Total: 581-504-30)
All Picks Against Spread – 2024 Season: 27-20-1 (Last Week: 7-9)
(2023 Season: 142-135-8) (2022 Season: 143-132-9) (2021 Season: 158-126-2) (2020 Season: 132-128-7) (2019 Season: 142-118-7) (2018 Season: 137-118-12) (2017 Season: 137-119-11) (2016 Season: 123-136-8) (2015 Season: 143-117-7) (2014 Season: 149-114-4) (10-Year Total: 1406-1243-75)
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants
What if…?
What if the New York Giants figured out how to move the ball on offense and score?
What if the Dallas Cowboys are actually a bad team?
What if they travel to New Jersey and pummel the Giants?
On the surface,