We are halfway there.

I can’t believe it. But, then again, I can never believe it. The season almost always moves quickly, but I can easily see why this one has felt like a blur to this point.

It’s because there has been no movement. Anywhere.

Usually, by now, we have a clear pattern of underdogs leading the charge or favorites providing easy wins for people. Instead, we have nothing.

Of course, that isn’t totally true. We have the same repeated conversation that the spreads are landing quite close to the final margins-of-victory. And we can’t be naive about it. That means something.

It just means that we need to continue to wait for our edge. The good news, however, is that we have seen some of the clearer reads lead to better results — hence the uptick in success with the confidence picks. We will continue to take that until there is a new wave we can ride throughout the second-half of the season.

Below are predictions for each game against the spread. Spreads have been taken from various websites and are subject to change. The spread in parenthesis denotes the selected team. Spread is listed as advertised number and odds at either DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook, or PointsBet. All efforts were made to provide picks at -110 or better, with some stretching to a -125 if no reasonable advertised spread was found.

*Confidence Picks – 2023 Season: 31-28-1 (Last Week: 5-2)

(2022 Season: 54-54-5) (2021 Season: 55-50) (2020 Season: 53-42-3) (2019 Season: 57-43-3) (2018 Season: 63-48-4) (2017 Season: 53-48-4) (2016 Season: 53-67-3) (2015 Season: 69-45-2) (2014 Season: 61-46-2) (9-Year Total: 518-443-26)

All Picks Against Spread – 2023 Season: 58-61-3 (Last Week: 7-8-1)

(2022 Season: 143-132-9) (2021 Season: 158-126-2) (2020 Season: 132-128-7) (2019 Season: 142-118-7) (2018 Season: 137-118-12) (2017 Season: 137-119-11) (2016 Season: 123-136-8) (2015 Season: 143-117-7) (2014 Season: 149-114-4) (9-Year Total: 1264-1108-67)

Tennessee Titans at Pittsburgh Steelers

I spend a lot of writing time focused on how people view certain teams and players, but I am always curious when the perception doesn’t align with what it should be.

Keep in mind, that’s different than the perception failing to line up with the reality or the expectation — which is what I normally mention. This is the example of an event happening that should have pushed perception in a direction but no such push occurred.

I’m specifically talking about

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