What another strange week. Overall, the picks were good — and technically they were better than they have been — but the confidence picks lagged behind. That’s probably because I lean on underdogs, and favorites were outstanding.
That’s a good thing, though. Whenever the picks survive a week where favorites dominate, it sets us up nicely for the future. This doesn’t mean that we can completely move into an underdog-heavy week just by virtue of a regression, but it does mean there will be value on that side of the scale.
And that’s the side of the scale where we typically like to stay.
Below are predictions for each game against the spread. Spreads have been taken from various websites and are subject to change. The spread in parenthesis denotes the selected team. Spread is listed as advertised number and odds at either DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook, or PointsBet. All efforts were made to provide picks at -110 or better, with some stretching to a -125 if no reasonable advertised spread was found.
*Confidence Picks – 2023 Season: 41-43-2 (Last Week: 3-4)
(2022 Season: 54-54-5) (2021 Season: 55-50) (2020 Season: 53-42-3) (2019 Season: 57-43-3) (2018 Season: 63-48-4) (2017 Season: 53-48-4) (2016 Season: 53-67-3) (2015 Season: 69-45-2) (2014 Season: 61-46-2) (9-Year Total: 518-443-26)
All Picks Against Spread – 2023 Season: 86-89-5 (Last Week: 9-7)
(2022 Season: 143-132-9) (2021 Season: 158-126-2) (2020 Season: 132-128-7) (2019 Season: 142-118-7) (2018 Season: 137-118-12) (2017 Season: 137-119-11) (2016 Season: 123-136-8) (2015 Season: 143-117-7) (2014 Season: 149-114-4) (9-Year Total: 1264-1108-67)
Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys
It’s not necessarily an earth-shattering move by the National Football League to put two teams that played on Thanksgiving against each other on Thursday Night Football, but it definitely helps. That is because we know that each team was featured prominently on televisions last week.
And that means we have important takeaways in the world of
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