I write about it every year because it happens every year. It was ‘one of those weeks.’ A bad one. A really bad one. And, as always, we need to collectively move on from it and stay the course.
What’s odd is that “the course” this year should have led to a better outcome. Underdogs are thriving for the majority of the season and, with the emphasis I put on teams that are getting points, it is surprising that such a negative week surfaced and brought down the overall numbers.
One of the other annual traditions that coincides with a bad week is the explanation that an explanation isn’t helpful. Indeed, I have gone back and combed over what went wrong, but the reality is that nothing I write will look like anything other than an excuse. Therefore, as always, we move on and look ahead to the week in front of us. And, if we want to look back for any reason, it should be to recognize that we have been down this road before and we know how to navigate it.
Below are predictions for each game against the spread. Spreads have been taken from various websites and are subject to change. The spread in parenthesis denotes the selected team. Spread is listed as advertised number and odds at either DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook, or PointsBet. All efforts were made to provide picks at -110 or better, with some stretching to a -125 if no reasonable advertised spread was found.
*Confidence Picks – 2022 Season: 30-38-4 (Last Week: 3-4-1)
(2021 Season: 55-50) (2020 Season: 53-42-3) (2019 Season: 57-43-3) (2018 Season: 63-48-4) (2017 Season: 53-48-4) (2016 Season: 53-67-3) (2015 Season: 69-45-2) (2014 Season: 61-46-2) (8-Year Total: 464-389-21)
All Picks Against Spread – 2022 Season: 88-84-8 (Last Week: 5-10-1)
(2021 Season: 158-126-2) (2020 Season: 132-128-7) (2019 Season: 142-118-7) (2018 Season: 137-118-12) (2017 Season: 137-119-11) (2016 Season: 123-136-8) (2015 Season: 143-117-7) (2014 Season: 149-114-4) (8-Year Total: 1121-976-58)
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots
I’ve written about this in the past, but it is worth repeating following a Thanksgiving set of games that was witnessed by many throughout the course of the day. That is, I watch as much football as possible to see, in the moment, when and where a game turns. Often, it isn’t even subtle. We can easily spot the play that caused an unorthodox touchdown or a key penalty that extended the drive.
Despite being able to see these moments,