We had a relatively easy time moving though the list of games to get a grasp on how we expect each to unfold in our Game-by-Game Analysis piece, but that didn’t necessarily translate to how we want to attack them terms of value. In essence, it feels like the right numbers — over-under, salary, etc. — are being attached to the games in Week 11, where we will need to take some chances and look to target teams that would otherwise appear unattractive.
A Note from Mario: We had a subpar 1-2 record last week, but regression was expected after how hot the picks have been. I will continue to provide them as I see fit, but please do your research and play responsibly.
In the world of daily fantasy roster construction, ‘stacking’ players from the same team can often lead to big results. In this column of games to target in Week 11, Luke and Mario will give their thoughts on a few games that are worth watching for fantasy purposes, and whether they like the value or feel the game is getting too much attention.
Luke’s Top Games to Watch
Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills
These are two fairly polarizing teams throughout the football world, so depending on what you may read, you could come across wildly different takes on how this game plays out. The more this week goes on, the more I find myself loving the offenses for this matchup. Since their 0-3 start, the Colts offense has been about as reliable as can be. They have scored at least 23 points in every game since Week 4. On top of that, they have reached at least 295 yards of offense in every single game since Week 4 including 2 games of over 500 yards of offense. Now, you may see that and think that the Bills defense is better than anyone the Colts have played, but are they really? Their statistics are unbelievable, but the context for those statistics is crucial. In their 9 games, they have played the Steelers, the Dolphins twice, The Football Team, the Texans, the Jaguars and the Jets. That is 7 of their 9 games that have come against offenses that range from bad to the worst in the NFL. In their two other games against the Chiefs and Titans, the Bills defense allowed an average of 27 points and 377 yards. I think the Colts are more than capable of replicating that type of success. The flip side of this matchup should be much easier to support. The Bills have a top 10 offense by every major metric. Yes, many of those opponents I mentioned earlier boast weak defenses, but the Colts defense has been average at best. They rank 20th in total yards allowed, 24th in net yards allowed per pass attempt and 16th in yards allowed per rush attempt. This matchup has sneaky potential to be the highest scoring game of the week.
Washington Football Team at Carolina Panthers
The return of “Superman” in Carolina Please register or login to read the rest of the article.