Sporfolio’s NFL Daily Fantasy Sports game-by-game analysis columns are driven by expected game flow. Based on a combination of our Week 8 NFL picks against the spread and our expectations for a given game, we project the actions necessary to make these picks come to fruition. We aim to pinpoint players integral to our predicted game flow for each game of the week. We also include high-scoring and low-scoring matchups that can be used for either DFS plays or over-under picks in our DFS Overview column.
Please Note: Starting in 2023, we have revamped this column to be centered around two slates: main Sunday (1pm and 4pm eastern) and the Primetime games (Sunday night and Monday bundled together). All of the names in a given category are with respect to their prices in the context of a classic format using DraftKings.
Philadelphia Eagles at Cincinnati Bengals
Overpriced for Expectation: Zack Moss ($5700)
Fair Value for Expectations: Ja’Marr Chase ($8500), Saquon Barkley ($8300), A.J. Brown ($8200), Jalen Hurts ($7500), Joe Burrow ($7000), DeVonta Smith ($6600), Chase Brown ($5800), Kenneth Gainwell ($4700), Dallas Goedert ($4500), Jahan Dotson ($4200), Eagles Defense ($3100), Bengals Defense ($2800)
Underpriced for Expectation: Tee Higgins ($6500)
Lottery Ticket: Grant Calcaterra ($3200)
Must-Own: None
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns
Overpriced for Expectation: Lamar Jackson ($8000)
Fair Value for Expectations: Derrick Henry ($8100), Zay Flowers ($6800), Nick Chubb ($6100), Justice Hill ($5400), Jerome Ford ($5100), D’Onta Foreman ($4800), Jerry Jeudy ($4800), Pierre Strong Jr. ($4500), Rashod Bateman ($4300), Isaiah Likely ($4300), Ravens Defense ($3400), Browns Defense ($2400)
Underpriced for Expectation: David Njoku ($5100)
Lottery Ticket: Jameis Winston ($5200)
Must-Own: None
Tennessee Titans at Detroit Lions
Overpriced for Expectation: Lions Defense ($3800)
Fair Value for Expectations: Amon-Ra St. Brown ($8400), Jahmyr Gibbs ($7400), Jared Goff ($6600), David Montgomery ($6400), Jameson Williams ($5900), Calvin Ridley ($5200), Sam LaPorta ($4800), Julius Chestnut ($4100), Titans Defense ($2200
Underpriced for Expectation: Tony Pollard ($6500) if Tyjae Spears doesn’t play, and Tyjae Spears ($4900) if he plays
Lottery Ticket: Mason Rudolph ($4400)
Must-Own: None
Arizona Cardinals at Miami Dolphins
Overpriced for Expectation: Cardinals Defense ($2900)
Fair Value for Expectations: Marvin Harrison Jr. ($6800), James Conner ($6500), Kyler Murray ($6400), De’Von Achane ($6200), Raheem Mostert ($5900), Jaylen Waddle ($5400), Trey Benson ($5100), Jaylen Wright ($4900), Michael Wilson ($4900), Zay Jones ($4600), Emari Demercado ($4500), Jeff Wilson Jr. ($4400), Greg Dortch ($4300), Dolphins Defense ($3000),
Underpriced for Expectation: Trey McBride ($5500)
Lottery Ticket: Tua Tagovailoa ($6100)
Must-Own: Tyreek Hill ($7000)
New York Jets at New England Patriots
Overpriced for Expectation: Antonio Gibson ($5400)
Fair Value for Expectations: Breece Hall ($7300), Davante Adams ($7100), Garrett Wilson ($6700), Aaron Rodgers ($5700), Drake Maye ($5500), Braelon Allen ($5200), DeMario Douglas ($4700), JaMycal Hasty ($4500), Mike Williams ($4200), Jets Defense ($3500), Patriots Defense ($2500)
Underpriced for Expectation: Rhamondre Stevenson ($6000)
Lottery Ticket: Allen Lazard ($4800)
Must-Own: None
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Overpriced for Expectation: Baker Mayfield ($6700)
Fair Value for Expectations: Bijan Robinson ($7200), Drake London ($7200), Kirk Cousins ($6200), Bucky Irving ($5800), Darnell Mooney ($5800), Sean Tucker ($5200), Tyler Allgeier ($5100), Kyle Pitts ($4400), Ray-Ray McCloud III ($4300), Buccaneers Defense ($2800), Falcons Defense ($2600)
Underpriced for Expectation: Rachaad White ($5700)
Lottery Ticket: Sterling Shepard ($3800)
Must-Own: Cade Otton ($3500)
Green Bay Packers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Overpriced for Expectation: Packers Defense ($3200)
Fair Value for Expectations: Jordan Love ($7100), Jayden Reed ($6700), Josh Jacobs ($6600), Tank Bigsby ($6300), Travis Etienne Jr. ($5900), Romeo Doubs ($5700), Trevor Lawrence ($5600), Christian Kirk ($5500), Dontayvion Wicks ($5300), Christian Watson ($5200), Evan Engram ($5000), D’Ernest Johnson ($4800), Tucker Kraft ($4600), Gabe Davis ($4500), Jaguars Defense ($2300)
Underpriced for Expectation: Brian Thomas Jr. ($6400)
Lottery Ticket: Emanuel Wilson ($4400)
Must-Own: None
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans
Overpriced for Expectation: Jonathan Taylor ($7500)
Fair Value for Expectations: Joe Mixon ($7700), Stefon Diggs ($7500), C.J. Stroud ($6900), Tank Dell ($6300), Michael Pittman Jr. ($6000), Tyler Goodson ($5500), Josh Downs ($5500), Trey Sermon ($5300), Alec Pierce ($5000), Dameon Pierce ($4900), Dalton Schultz ($4100), Texans Defense ($3100), Colts Defense ($2700)
Underpriced for Expectation: Anthony Richardson ($5800)
Lottery Ticket: Dare Ogunbowale ($4100)
Must-Own: None
New Orleans Saints at Los Angeles Chargers
Overpriced for Expectation: Alvin Kamara ($7600)
Fair Value for Expectations: J.K. Dobbins ($6900), Chris Olave ($6400), Justin Herbert ($5400), Kimani Vidal ($5300), Ladd McConkey ($5100), Spencer Rattler ($4600), Cedrick Wilson Jr. ($4600), Quentin Johnston ($4500), Joshua Palmer ($4400), Jamaal Williams ($4200), Mason Tipton ($4100), Chargers Defense ($3300), Saints Defense ($2600)
Underpriced for Expectation: Kendre Miller ($4700)
Lottery Ticket: Tayson Hill ($3900) if he plays
Must-Own: None
Buffalo Bills at Seattle Seahawks
Overpriced for Expectation: DK Metcalf ($6500)
Fair Value for Expectations: Josh Allen ($7800), Kenneth Walker III ($7800), Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($6100), Geno Smith ($5900), Khalil Shakir ($5900), Tyler Lockett ($5600), Keon Coleman ($5600), Ty Johnson ($5500), Zach Charbonnet ($5400), Ray Davis ($5200), Dalton Kincaid ($4900), Bills Defense ($3000), Seahawks Defense ($2500)
Underpriced for Expectation: Amari Cooper ($6000)
Lottery Ticket: Noah Fant ($3700)
Must-Own: James Cook ($7000)
Carolina Panthers at Denver Broncos
Overpriced for Expectation: Chuba Hubbard ($6700)
Fair Value for Expectations: Diontae Johnson ($6300), Bo Nix ($5600), Courtland Sutton ($5300), Xavier Legette ($5000), Bryce Young ($4900), Miles Sanders ($4400), Audric Estime ($4300), Troy Franklin ($4100), Broncos Defense ($3700), Panthers Defense ($2300)
Underpriced for Expectation: Javonte Williams ($6000)
Lottery Ticket: Jaleel McLaughlin ($4600)
Must-Own: None
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders
Overpriced for Expectation: Clyde Edwards-Helaire ($5000), Chiefs Defense ($3600)
Fair Value for Expectations: Patrick Mahomes ($6800), Kareem Hunt ($6300), Xavier Worthy ($6200), Brock Bowers ($6100), Travis Kelce ($6000), Alexander Mattison ($5600), Jakobi Meyers ($5400), Samaje Perine ($4800), Zamir White ($4600), Ameer Abdullah ($4400), Tre Tucker ($4400), Carson Steele ($4200), Raiders Defense ($2400)
Underpriced for Expectation: Gardner Minshew II ($4800)
Lottery Ticket: DeAndre Hopkins ($4900)
Must-Own: None
Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders
Overpriced for Expectation: Jayden Daniels ($7300) if he plays, Commanders Defense ($2900)
Fair Value for Expectations: Terry McLaurin ($6900), DJ Moore ($6600), Brian Robinson Jr. ($6400), D’Andre Swift ($6200), Caleb Williams ($6000), Keenan Allen ($5800), Austin Ekeler ($5600), Marcus Mariota ($5300), Rome Odunze ($5100), Roschon Johnson ($5000), Cole Kmet ($4700), Jeremy McNichols ($4200), Bears Defense ($2700)
Underpriced for Expectation: Zach Ertz ($4200)
Lottery Ticket: Khalil Herbert ($4300)
Must-Own: None
Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers
Overpriced for Expectation: 49ers Defense ($3000)
Fair Value for Expectations: Jordan Mason ($7900), Deebo Samuel Sr. ($6900), Dak Prescott ($6500), Brock Purdy ($6300), Isaac Guerendo ($6100), Rico Dowdle ($6000), George Kittle ($5800), Jalen Tolbert ($5300), Jauan Jennings ($5100), Patrick Taylor Jr. ($4600), Ezekiel Elliott ($4200), Cowboys Defense ($2700)
Underpriced for Expectation: Jake Ferguson ($5300)
Lottery Ticket: Ricky Pearsall ($4400)
Must-Own: CeeDee Lamb ($8600)
New York Giants at Pittsburgh Steelers
Overpriced for Expectation: Wan’Dale Robinson ($5900)
Fair Value for Expectations: Najee Harris ($6300), George Pickens ($6300), Devin Singletary ($5900), Tyrone Tracy Jr. ($5700), Daniel Jones ($5400), Jaylen Warren ($5300), Darius Slayton ($4800), Pat Freiermuth ($4300), Steelers Defense ($3500), Giants Defense ($2500)
Underpriced for Expectation: Russell Wilson ($5900)
Lottery Ticket: Calvin Austin III ($3300)
Must-Own: Malik Nabers ($7000)