Sporfolio’s NFL Daily Fantasy Sports game-by-game analysis columns are driven by expected game flow. Based on a combination of our Week 2 NFL picks against the spread and our expectations for a given game, we project the actions necessary to make these picks come to fruition. We aim to pinpoint players integral to our predicted game flow for each game of the week. We also include high-scoring and low-scoring matchups that can be used for either DFS plays or over-under picks in our DFS Overview column.
Please Note: Starting in 2023, we have revamped this column to be centered around two slates: main Sunday (1pm and 4pm eastern) and the Primetime games (Sunday night and Monday bundled together). All of the names in a given category are with respect to their prices in the context of a classic format using DraftKings.
New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys
Overpriced for Expectation: CeeDee Lamb ($8800), Alvin Kamara ($7000), Dak Prescott ($6700), Cowboys Defense ($4000),
Fair Value for Expectations: Chris Olave ($6400), Ezekiel Elliott ($5700), Brandin Cooks ($5600), Derek Carr ($5300), Jamaal Williams ($4800), Rico Dowdle ($4800), Saints Defense ($2400)
Underpriced for Expectation: Rashid Shaheed ($4600)
Lottery Ticket: Luke Schoonmaker ($2900)
Must-Own: None
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions
Overpriced for Expectation: Baker Mayfield ($5900)
Fair Value for Expectations: Amon-Ra St. Brown ($8100), Mike Evans ($7500), Jahmyr Gibbs ($6600), Jared Goff ($6400), Rachaad White ($6300), Sam LaPorta ($6300), David Montgomery ($6000), Chris Godwin ($6000), Jameson Williams ($5300), Buccaneers Defense ($2500)
Underpriced for Expectation: Lions Defense ($2900)
Lottery Ticket: Bucky Irving ($4900)
Must-Own: None
Indianapolis Colts at Green Bay Packers
Overpriced for Expectation: Jordan Love ($6500), Jayden Reed ($6000), Romeo Doubs ($5700), Christian Watson ($5000), Dontayvion Wicks ($4700)
Fair Value for Expectations: Jonathan Taylor ($7700), Anthony Richardson ($6800), Michael Pittman Jr. ($6600), Josh Jacobs ($6500), Malik Willis ($5000), Emanuel Wilson ($4500), Colts Defense ($3300), Packers Defense ($2600)
Underpriced for Expectation: Alec Pierce ($4500)
Lottery Ticket: Josh Downs ($4800)
Must-Own: None
New York Jets at Tennessee Titans
Overpriced for Expectation: Tony Pollard ($5900)
Fair Value for Expectations: Aaron Rodgers ($5900), Calvin Ridley ($5800), Mike Williams ($5600), DeAndre Hopkins ($5400), Will Levis ($5200), Tyjae Spears ($5000), Braelon Allen ($5000), Tyler Boyd ($4400), Jets Defense ($3800), Titans Defense ($2700)
Underpriced for Expectation: Breece Hall ($7400)
Lottery Ticket: Allen Lazard ($3300)
Must-Own: Garrett Wilson ($7100)
San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings
Overpriced for Expectation: Brandon Aiyuk ($6500), Brock Purdy ($6100)
Fair Value for Expectations: Justin Jefferson ($8300), Aaron Jones ($6100), George Kittle ($5500), Ty Chandler ($5300), Sam Darnold ($5200), Jauan Jennings ($4300), 49ers Defense ($3600), Vikings Defense ($2400)
Underpriced for Expectation: Deebo Samuel Sr. ($6800), Jordan Mason ($5200)
Lottery Ticket: Jalen Nailor ($3900)
Must-Own: None
Seattle Seahawks at New England Patriots
Overpriced for Expectation: Kenneth Walker III ($6300)
Fair Value for Expectations: DK Metcalf ($5900), Zach Charbonnet ($5800), Geno Smith ($5500), Tyler Lockett ($5300), Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($4900), Antonio Gibson ($4800), DeMario Douglas ($4500), Seahawks Defense ($3000)
Underpriced for Expectation: Jacoby Brissett ($5000), Patriots Defense ($2800)
Lottery Ticket: Hunter Henry ($3800)
Must-Own: Rhamondre Stevenson ($6200)
New York Giants at Washington Commanders
Overpriced for Expectation: Commanders Defense ($3000)
Fair Value for Expectations: Jayden Daniels ($6200), Malik Nabers ($5900), Brian Robinson Jr. ($5800), Austin Ekeler ($5700), Terry McLaurin ($5700), Tyrone Tracy Jr. ($4300), Wan’Dale Robinson ($4300), Eric Gray ($4100), Darius Slayton ($4100), Giants Defense ($2700)
Underpriced for Expectation: Devin Singletary ($5700)
Lottery Ticket: Daniel Jones ($5300)
Must-Own: None
Los Angeles Chargers at Carolina Panthers
Overpriced for Expectation: Chargers Defense ($3400)
Fair Value for Expectations: J.K. Dobbins ($5400), Chuba Hubbard ($5300), Gus Edwards ($5200), Miles Sanders ($5200), Adam Thielen ($5200), Bryce Young ($5100), Diontae Johnson ($5100), Joshua Palmer ($5000), Xavier Legette ($4700),Quentin Johnston ($4100), Panthers Defense ($2300)
Underpriced for Expectation: Justin Herbert ($5800)
Lottery Ticket: Ladd McConkey ($4900)
Must-Own: None
Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars
Overpriced for Expectation: Travis Etienne Jr. ($7200)
Fair Value for Expectations: Amari Cooper ($6200), Trevor Lawrence ($5700), Deshaun Watson ($5600), Christian Kirk ($5500), Evan Engram ($5400),
Tank Bigsby ($5100), Jerry Jeudy ($5100), Brian Thomas Jr. ($4800), D’Ernest Johnson ($4600), D’Onta Foreman ($4400), Gabe Davis ($4400), Browns Defense ($3300), Jaguars Defense ($3100)
Underpriced for Expectation: Jerome Ford ($5900)
Lottery Ticket: Jordan Akins ($3000)
Must-Own: None
Las Vegas Raiders at Baltimore Ravens
Overpriced for Expectation: Alexander Mattison ($5300), Ravens Defense ($3700)
Fair Value for Expectations: Lamar Jackson ($7700), Derrick Henry ($6700), Zay Flowers ($6300), Zamir White ($5600), Justice Hill ($5200), Jakobi Meyers ($5100), Mark Andrews ($5000), Isaiah Likely ($4800), Raiders Defense ($2500)
Underpriced for Expectation: Gardner Minshew II ($5100)
Lottery Ticket: Brock Bowers ($4400)
Must-Own: Davante Adams ($7300)
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals
Overpriced for Expectation: Kyren Williams ($6800), Matthew Stafford ($6000)
Fair Value for Expectations: Cooper Kupp ($7600), Kyler Murray ($6600), James Conner ($6400), Trey McBride ($6000), Trey Benson ($5100), Blake Corum ($4700), Emari Demercado ($4400), Michael Wilson ($4300), Rams Defense ($2900), Cardinals Defense ($2300)
Underpriced for Expectation: Greg Dortch ($4600)
Lottery Ticket: Demarcus Robinson ($4000)
Must-Own: Marvin Harrison Jr. ($6900)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos
Overpriced for Expectation: Najee Harris ($5500), Jaylen Warren ($5400)
Fair Value for Expectations: George Pickens ($5800), Javonte Williams ($5500), Justin Fields ($5400), Jaleel McLaughlin ($4500), Cordarrelle Patterson ($4400), Josh Reynolds ($4300), Pat Freiermuth ($4100), Steelers Defense ($3500)
Underpriced for Expectation: Courtland Sutton ($5400), Broncos Defense ($2800)
Lottery Ticket: Bo Nix ($5000)
Must-Own: None
Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs
Overpriced for Expectation: Patrick Mahomes ($7000), Zack Moss ($5600)
Fair Value for Expectations: Isiah Pacheco ($6900), Rashee Rice ($6700), Joe Burrow ($6300), Travis Kelce ($6200), Xavier Worthy ($6100), Chase Brown ($4700), Chiefs Defense ($3200), Bengals Defense ($2600)
Underpriced for Expectation: Mike Gesicki ($3100)
Lottery Ticket: Samaje Perine ($4500)
Must-Own: Ja’Marr Chase ($7800)
Chicago Bears at Houston Texans
Overpriced for Expectation: C.J. Stroud ($7300), Nico Collins ($7000)
Fair Value for Expectations: Joe Mixon ($7100), Stefon Diggs ($6800), Keenan Allen ($6400), D’Andre Swift ($5800), Tank Dell ($5500), Khalil Herbert ($5100), Dameon Pierce ($4300), Rome Odunze ($4100), Travis Homer ($4000), Dare Ogunbowale ($4000), Cole Kmet ($3900), Texans Defense ($3100), Bears Defense ($2600)
Underpriced for Expectation: Caleb Williams ($5800), Dalton Schultz ($4600)
Lottery Ticket: Velus Jones Jr. ($3200)
Must-Own: DJ Moore ($6500)
Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles
Overpriced for Expectation: Eagles Defense ($3400)
Fair Value for Expectations: Saquon Barkley ($7800), A.J. Brown ($7600), Jalen Hurts ($7200), DeVonta Smith ($6700), Kirk Cousins ($6000), Tyler Allgeier ($4700), Kenneth Gainwell ($4500), Dallas Goedert ($4500), Ray-Ray McCloud III ($3100), Falcons Defense ($2800)
Underpriced for Expectation: Kyle Pitts ($4900), Darnell Mooney ($4200)
Lottery Ticket: Drake London ($6100)
Must-Own: Bijan Robinson ($7700)