We are approaching the last four regular season games for each team and, as a result, the gameplans for each offense are relatively stable. This leads to a more predictable game flow, allowing us to target fewer players and eliminate risk wherever possible.
Sporfolio’s NFL Daily Fantasy Sports game-by-game analysis columns are driven by expected game flow. Based on a combination of our Week 14 NFL picks against the spread and our expectations for a given game, we project the actions necessary to make these picks come to fruition. We aim to pinpoint players integral to our predicted game flow for each game of the week.
Luke May is our resident NFL DFS expert, and Mario Mergola operates Sporfolio as our expert for NFL Picks Against the Spread.
Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills
Luke’s DFS Take: How people feel about this game will rest largely on the health of Tyrod Taylor. We have gotten to see what life without him looks like for the Bills, and it was not pretty. From strictly a fantasy standpoint, Taylor’s health is not a big concern to me, because the game plan for Buffalo should be to lean heavily on LeSean McCoy all game long. McCoy is hands down the best player the Bills have, and in an effort to help out their struggling defense, McCoy should be given an ample amount of carries. The Colts offense has shown an ability to make big plays against weaker opponents, and this matchup seems like the perfect opportunity for T.Y. Hilton to reemerge after three straight games of 51 yards or less. McCoy and Hilton both have solid matchups and should be key parts of their respective teams game plans, and that doesn’t change no matter what the status of Tyrod Taylor is.
Mario’s DFS Take: I wrote about it in my picks column, and it needs to be addressed immediately for fantasy purposes. That is, the quarterback situation does not matter in Buffalo on Sunday. The Bills will either be starting an injured – read: ineffective – quarterback in Tyrod Taylor or a bad – read: ineffective – Nathan Peterman. Both produce the same result. Both force the ball out of the hands of the quarterback and into those of LeSean McCoy. As is usually the case, McCoy will be asked to carry the workload, and should have plenty of opportunities to shine. But, we must be fair to Indianapolis’ defense, which ranks eleventh-best in yards-per-rush and makes for an incredibly high risk-reward play against a weakened Bills offense.