Sporfolio’s NFL Daily Fantasy Sports game-by-game analysis columns are driven by expected game flow. Based on a combination of our Wild Card Round NFL picks against the spread and our expectations for a given game, we project the actions necessary to make these picks come to fruition. We aim to pinpoint players integral to our predicted game flow for each game of the week.
Please Note: Starting in 2023, we have revamped this column to be centered around two slates: main Sunday (1pm and 4pm eastern) and the Primetime games (Sunday night and Monday bundled together). All of the names in a given category are with respect to their prices in the context of a classic format using DraftKings.
Los Angeles Chargers at Houston Texans
Overpriced for Expectation: Chargers Defense ($3200)
Fair Value for Expectations: Nico Collins ($7800), Ladd McConkey ($6800), J.K. Dobbins ($6200), Justin Herbert ($6000), C.J. Stroud ($5500), Dameon Pierce ($4700), Hassan Haskins ($4400), Gus Edwards ($4300), Joshua Palmer ($4300), Dare Ogunbowale ($4100), Texans Defense ($2700)
Underpriced for Expectation: Quentin Johnston ($4800)
Lottery Ticket: Dalton Schults ($3600)
Must-Own: Joe Mixon ($7200)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens
Overpriced for Expectation: Ravens Defense ($3700)
Fair Value for Expectations: Derrick Henry ($8200), Lamar Jackson ($8000), George Pickens ($6300), Zay Flowers ($6000) if he plays, Russell Wilson ($5300), Jaylen Warren ($5200), Najee Harris ($5000), Rashod Bateman ($5000), Mark Andrews ($4700), Justice Hill ($4500), Keaton Mitchell ($4200), Steelers Defense ($2200)
Underpriced for Expectation: Pat Freiermuth ($4400)
Lottery Ticket: Isaiah Likely ($3200)
Must-Own: None
Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills
Overpriced for Expectation: Javonte Williams ($5100)
Fair Value for Expectations: Josh Allen ($8200), James Cook ($6700), Courtland Sutton ($6600), Bo Nix ($6300), Khalil Shakir ($5300), Jaleel McLaughlin ($4900), Amari Cooper ($4900), Ray Davis ($4700), Keon Coleman ($4600), Ty Johnson ($4200), Devaughn Vele ($4100), Dalton Kincaid ($4000), Bills Defense ($3500), Broncos Defense ($2400)
Underpriced for Expectation: Marvin Mims Jr. ($5100)
Lottery Ticket: Audric Estime ($4600)
Must-Own: None
Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles
Overpriced for Expectation: Eagles Defense ($3300)
Fair Value for Expectations: Saquon Barkley ($8500), Josh Jacobs ($7700), A.J. Brown ($7500), Jalen Hurts ($7300), Jordan Love ($5800), DeVonta Smith ($5700), Romeo Doubs ($5400), Emanuel Wilson ($4900), Kenneth Gainwell ($4600), Chris Brooks ($4400), Dallas Goedert ($3900), Packers Defense ($2600)
Underpriced for Expectation: Jayden Reed ($5500)
Lottery Ticket: Dontayvion Wicks ($4500)
Must-Own: None
Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Overpriced for Expectation: Rachaad White ($5000)
Fair Value for Expectations: Mike Evans ($7900), Jayden Daniels ($7500), Baker Mayfield ($6800), Terry McLaurin ($6500), Brian Robinson Jr. ($5800), Jalen McMillan ($5200), Austin Ekeler ($4800), Olamide Zaccheaus ($4400), Zach Ertz ($4300), Commanders Defense ($2800)
Underpriced for Expectation: Cade Otton ($4100)
Lottery Ticket: Buccaneers Defense ($3100)
Must-Own: Bucky Irving ($7000)
Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams
Overpriced for Expectation: Kyren Williams ($7400)
Fair Value for Expectations: Puka Nacua ($7600), Sam Darnold ($6500), Jordan Addison ($6100), Aaron Jones Sr. ($6000), Matthew Stafford ($5700), Cam Akers ($4800), Ty Chandler ($4300), Demarcus Robinson ($4200), Ronnie Rivers ($4100), Vikings Defense ($3000), Rams Defense ($2900)
Underpriced for Expectation: Cooper Kupp ($6400)
Lottery Ticket: T.J. Hockenson ($4200)
Must-Own: Justin Jefferson ($8100)