Sporfolio’s NFL Daily Fantasy Sports game-by-game analysis columns are driven by expected game flow. Based on a combination of our Conference Championship Round NFL picks against the spread and our expectations for a given game, we project the actions necessary to make these picks come to fruition. We aim to pinpoint players integral to our predicted game flow for each game of the week.
Please Note: Starting in 2023, we have revamped this column to be centered around two slates: main Sunday (1pm and 4pm eastern) and the Primetime games (Sunday night and Monday bundled together). All of the names in a given category are with respect to their prices in the context of a classic format using DraftKings.
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles
Overpriced for Expectation: Saquon Barkley ($8600)
Fair Value for Expectations: Jayden Daniels ($7000), A.J. Brown ($6800), Terry McLaurin ($6700), Jalen Hurts ($6500), DeVonta Smith ($5800), Brian Robinson Jr. ($5600), Dallas Goedert ($4500), Dyami Brown ($4400), Zach Ertz ($4300), Eagles Defense ($3300), Commanders Defense ($2700)
Underpriced for Expectation: Austin Ekeler ($5300)
Lottery Ticket: Kenneth Gainwell ($4600)
Must-Own: None
Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs
Overpriced for Expectation: Bills Defense ($2900)
Fair Value for Expectations: Josh Allen ($7500), James Cook ($6900), Travis Kelce ($6000), Khalil Shakir ($5700), Kareem Hunt ($5400), Isiah Pacheco ($5200), DeAndre Hopkins ($4700), Ty Johnson ($4400), Ray Davis ($4300), Samaje Perine ($4200), Hollywood Brown ($4200), Amari Cooper ($4100), Chiefs Defense ($3100)
Underpriced for Expectation: Xavier Worthy ($5500)
Lottery Ticket: Mack Hollins ($3300)
Must-Own: Patrick Mahomes ($6000)