Despite an early morning game removing one from the slate, Week 7 is packed with interesting matchups. Unfortunately, many of such games afford better opportunities for the entertainment angle, with a handful yielded excellent fantasy options. In addition, there are a large number of high upside plays, as offenses appear ready to break out after weeks of stagnation.

We are also treated to a combination of ‘revenge games’ and divisional showdowns. More than ever, Week 7 appears more dependent upon game flow than matchups, which plays right into the hands of what we target most.

Sporfolio’s NFL Daily Fantasy Sports game-by-game analysis columns are driven by expected game flow. Based on a combination of our Week 7 NFL picks against the spread and our expectations for a given game, we project the actions necessary to make these picks come to fruition. We aim to pinpoint players integral to our predicted game flow for each game of the week.

Luke May is our resident NFL DFS expert, and Mario Mergola operates Sporfolio as our expert for NFL Picks Against the Spread.

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Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans

Luke’s DFS Take: It is clear. Indianapolis still has not figured out how to play defense. Lamar Miller was able to run all over the Colts, and DeMarco Murray should easily be able to replicate Miller’s success. Murray is coming off a rather disappointing game considering his last opponent – Cleveland – but his high volume should continue and produce in this favorable matchup. Marcus Mariota has had back-to-back strong games, but it is important to note that he is touchdown-dependant, as he is not producing enough yards due to lack of attempts. Because his high touchdown rate should subside, the case for Murray is strengthened as the best play of the game, from either side. The Titans’ defense has been solid all year and, with Indianapolis unable to protect Andrew Luck to save his life – a slight exaggeration – most of Indianapolis’ offense is off-limits. The exception might be T.Y. Hilton, as Donte Moncrief is still out, Dwayne Allen is unlikely to play, and Phillip Dorsett is questionable.

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