Not every week of the NFL season brings an underlying storyline, but Sunday’s is undeniable – revenge. Indeed, the teams are not necessarily enacting revenge on their opponents, but rather release their frustration on the unwitting franchise unlucky enough to be on the receiving end. Specifically, a few of the best fantasy options of the week play on teams that have recently suffered painful losses and are now in position to get back on track.
These losses were not entirely unforeseen, and one of our best weeks for our confidence picks against the spread also translated to one our best weeks for fantasy purposes. Therein lies the value of following the expected game flow, where the path that a team would generally take can carve out the route for specific players.
For Week 11, these routes present themselves as previous roadblocks. Ones that are about to get demolished as a team breaks through. With it, go the players.
Sporfolio’s NFL Daily Fantasy Sports game-by-game analysis columns are driven by expected game flow. Based on a combination of our Week 11 NFL picks against the spread and our expectations for a given game, we project the actions necessary to make these picks come to fruition. We aim to pinpoint players integral to our predicted game flow for each game of the week.
Luke May is our resident NFL DFS expert, and Mario Mergola operates Sporfolio as our expert for NFL Picks Against the Spread.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Kansas City Chiefs
Luke’s DFS Take: This is one of the rare times where I feel comfortable with an expected outcome – the Chiefs should be able to take care of business against the Buccaneers. Kansas City has only failed to cause a turnover in two games, all year – the team’s two losses – and, when the Chiefs win, it is usually on the strength of their defense. Throw in the fact that they are playing one of the most turnover-prone teams in the league, and there is a compelling argument to roll with Kansas City’s defense. The only offensive player worth serious consideration between the Chiefs and Buccaneers is Spencer Ware. Ware handled a majority of the backfield work in his first game back in action and, with another week under his belt to help recover from injury, his touches should only increase. Between the positive matchup and the game flow being in his favor, Ware is a smart play on Sunday.