NFL Picks: 2023 Week 15 Picks Against the Spread

Well, that felt good. We knew it had to happen. We knew a good week was looming. We just could not have foreseen such a great week. The irony is that much of what has failed us this year was exactly what worked in our favor in Week 14. Specifically, spreads were, once...

NFL Picks: 2023 Week 14 Picks Against the Spread

I am amazed at how this season-long character trait has persisted. The spreads have simply been too close to the outcomes of the games, and it is remarkable. Is it helpful? Not always. Is it a problem? Sometimes. But it is our job to read the numbers and find the...

NFL Picks: 2023 Week 13 Picks Against the Spread

What another strange week. Overall, the picks were good — and technically they were better than they have been — but the confidence picks lagged behind. That’s probably because I lean on underdogs, and favorites were outstanding. That’s a good...

NFL Picks: 2023 Week 12 Picks Against the Spread

I have a close friend of mine who asks me regularly, “How did your picks do?” This year, I’ve given basically the same answer every time. “They’ve been… fine.” They haven’t been great, but they haven’t been...

NFL Picks: 2023 Week 11 Picks Against the Spread

If there’s a theme for a given week, I list it. There’s a theme, and it’s an important one. The spreads are moving aggressively. We usually see this in the first week or two of a season where perception is so dramatic that it must shift numbers....

NFL Picks: 2023 Week 10 Picks Against the Spread

We’re now past the halfway point of the season, and we do need to reflect on how rocky it has been. Usually, by now, we have seen some peaks-and-valleys that can lead into the second-half of the year. That hasn’t been the case. It’s been small hills...