by Mario Mergola | Dec 13, 2023
Well, that felt good. We knew it had to happen. We knew a good week was looming. We just could not have foreseen such a great week. The irony is that much of what has failed us this year was exactly what worked in our favor in Week 14. Specifically, spreads were, once...
by Mario Mergola | Dec 7, 2023
I am amazed at how this season-long character trait has persisted. The spreads have simply been too close to the outcomes of the games, and it is remarkable. Is it helpful? Not always. Is it a problem? Sometimes. But it is our job to read the numbers and find the...
by Mario Mergola | Nov 30, 2023
What another strange week. Overall, the picks were good — and technically they were better than they have been — but the confidence picks lagged behind. That’s probably because I lean on underdogs, and favorites were outstanding. That’s a good...
by Mario Mergola | Nov 22, 2023
I have a close friend of mine who asks me regularly, “How did your picks do?” This year, I’ve given basically the same answer every time. “They’ve been… fine.” They haven’t been great, but they haven’t been...
by Mario Mergola | Nov 16, 2023
If there’s a theme for a given week, I list it. There’s a theme, and it’s an important one. The spreads are moving aggressively. We usually see this in the first week or two of a season where perception is so dramatic that it must shift numbers....
by Mario Mergola | Nov 8, 2023
We’re now past the halfway point of the season, and we do need to reflect on how rocky it has been. Usually, by now, we have seen some peaks-and-valleys that can lead into the second-half of the year. That hasn’t been the case. It’s been small hills...