NFL Picks: 2024 Week 6 Picks Against the Spread

Every year, we go through certain trends together. In the beginning, we can lean on underdogs and outdated perceptions carried over from the prior year. Then, we shift into what we are actually seeing in front of us but with an understanding that we still have teams...

NFL Picks: 2024 Week 5 Picks Against the Spread

I specifically mention this in one of the picks in this column, but I should be fair to my love of overreaction and when we can find it. The answer is: always. There’s always a time for someone to overreact to what we watched in the National Football league,...

NFL Picks: 2024 Week 4 Picks Against the Spread

It was only natural. I led last week’s column praising how wonderful Week 2 is on a yearly basis, and it turned into Week 3 being on the losing side. Barely. And that’s obviously a good thing. I write about regression all the time, and the key is to let it...

NFL Picks: 2024 Week 3 Picks Against the Spread

I’m pretty sure I wrote this exact same introduction last year, but I wish it were Week 2 all the time. There’s simply no better chance for overreaction to push the numbers in the right direction than what we just saw. But alas, it must come to an end. The...

NFL Picks: 2024 Week 2 Picks Against the Spread

I will always love the second week of any given season. It’s the time when we see the most overreaction, which means it’s the time we get the biggest disconnect between perception and reality. For most weeks of the year, I take my time moving through games...

NFL Picks: 2024 Week 1 Picks Against the Spread

We all know there is no better time of the year. It’s football season. And it’s time to get to the picks! What I find resurfaces every single year as I type this article is the importance of using what we learned during the offseason to immediately target...